Insight

Office of the Chief Economist

A source for unbiased economic intelligence to help improve strategic decision-making.

Kenneth Kim

Kenneth Kim

Senior Economist, KPMG US

+1 212-954-6144

What’s impacting labor market participation? Why are some sectors faring better than others? How do you separate the signal from the noise? The KPMG Office of the Chief Economist answers these questions and more, providing timely insight and analysis into the economic indicators. We monitor trends and identify potential opportunities that could impact your strategic objectives. Our perspectives look at on both the short term and long term economic factors that are critical to guiding strategic decisions.


Our latest thinking


 

Bad news sells, but data tells. Are we racing toward a recession?

Our latest chartbook looks at an economy in transition. As the health crisis caused by COVID-19 appears to be waning, the global economy seems to be on edge. 

Inflation is at its highest rate in 40 years, the Fed is poised to raise rates at the fastest pace since the 90’s, housing prices are soaring, and businesses can’t find staff.  Is this a perfect storm for recession or are the warnings overblown?

The KPMG Office of the Chief Economist looks at four distinct components that can tip the economy into a recession, and more importantly whether the U.S. economy has the resiliency to stay on course:

  • Consumer spending power…is it weakening or staying strong?
  • Inflation…has it reached its peak and if not what happens?
  • Housing market…will it slow or will buyers continue to be priced out?
  • Pace and path of Fed rate hikes…too slow, too fast, too much, too little?

Download our analysis now:  Bad news sells, but data tells. Are we racing toward a recession? 

 


Office of the Chief Economist in the news:


 

About our team

Kenneth Kim

Kenneth Kim

Senior Economist, KPMG US

+1 212-954-6144
Tim Mahedy

Tim Mahedy

Senior Director, Office of the Chief Economist, KPMG LLP

+1 415-963-5103
Henry T. Rubin

Henry T. Rubin

Sr Associate Research, Office of the Chief Economist, KPMG LLP

+1 212-954-2441
George Rao

George Rao

Sr Associate Research, Office of the Chief Economist, KPMG US

+1 212-954-4962
Meagan Martin

Meagan Martin

Associate Research, Office of the Chief Economist, KPMG US

+1 202-533-3000

Media contact

Allison Rivellini

Allison Rivellini

Senior Associate, Corporate Communications, KPMG US

+1 212-758-9700