What’s impacting labor market participation? Why are some sectors faring better than others? How do you separate the signal from the noise? The KPMG Office of the Chief Economist answers these questions and more, providing timely insight and analysis into the economic indicators. We monitor trends and identify potential opportunities that could impact your strategic objectives. Our perspectives look at on both the short term and long term economic factors that are critical to guiding strategic decisions.

Our latest thinking
Bad news sells, but data tells. Are we racing toward a recession?
Our latest chartbook looks at an economy in transition. As the health crisis caused by COVID-19 appears to be waning, the global economy seems to be on edge.
Inflation is at its highest rate in 40 years, the Fed is poised to raise rates at the fastest pace since the 90’s, housing prices are soaring, and businesses can’t find staff. Is this a perfect storm for recession or are the warnings overblown?
The KPMG Office of the Chief Economist looks at four distinct components that can tip the economy into a recession, and more importantly whether the U.S. economy has the resiliency to stay on course:
- Consumer spending power…is it weakening or staying strong?
- Inflation…has it reached its peak and if not what happens?
- Housing market…will it slow or will buyers continue to be priced out?
- Pace and path of Fed rate hikes…too slow, too fast, too much, too little?
Download our analysis now: Bad news sells, but data tells. Are we racing toward a recession?